Extra Networks - 被窝影视福利 of Art and Science

Existential Threats and Risks to All

NETWORKS

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OUR PARTNERS

The EXTRA Working Group is engaging globally with numerous organisations and agencies (see our list of Existential Risk networks) to help us develop the InfoHub, and simultaneously to amplify their work and promote their events. Collaborative activities with partners include webinars, interviews, invited op-eds, foresight exercises, and, in the future, training programs. These strategies aim to strengthen global cooperation and ultimately global governance for understanding and managing existential threats and risks.听

Partnerships Liaison Contact: extra@worldacademy.org

EXISTENTIAL RISK NETWORKS

Organizations Focusing on Existential Threats and Risks

The listing below identifies organizations that focus on general threats or risks, as well as selected organizations focusing on individual threats (climate, biodiversity, nuclear weapons, health, and AI). Organization name, place, and date of founding are followed by one or more recent publications or meetings, and a reference number to the Report on Recent Reports series of the 2023 ER2H Bibliography for an abstract.听

NOTE: Many titles of reports and articles have been shortened to conserve space.

(Berkeley, CA, 2019)
(2023), formed by the National Institute of Standards & Technology (Gaithersburg, MD).
, promotes 鈥渟tudy of AGI鈥� for 鈥渄esign of AGI systems.鈥� NOTE: No concern about negative impacts; not included, but mentioned somewhere.
(Walnut, CA, 2017) supports collaboration as a 鈥渕ultiplier鈥� to university research groups.
. 鈥�,鈥� (Special Report), William J. Ripple and 11 Others, 72:12 (Dec 2022) 1149-1155. The 30th anniversary of a similar warning in 1992: 鈥淲e are now at 鈥榗ode red鈥� on planet Earth.鈥� Signed by thousands of scientists.
(Chicago), 鈥�鈥� (Annual since 1947; on nuclear threat, climate, biothreats, AI).听
(BC, Canada), 鈥�,鈥� (Sept 2022, 10p). On many crises interacting to form a conjoined polycrisis.
, Feb 2020, 151p). On climate as a risk multiplier, and risks in seven world regions over the next 10-20 years.
(London), papers on malevolent actors, AI safety, and prioritization.
, see Univ of Cambridge
Global AI Risks Initiative (Waterloo, Ont, Canada), (June 2024, 34p). On risks of advanced AI, such as weaponization and loss of control.
(London), papers on extreme AI risk, extreme biological risk,听 (June 2021, 57p).
(UK, 2021). Main focus on 鈥渢hreats that general-purpose AI may pose to security鈥�; we seek to understand today鈥檚 risks and 鈥渕ore extreme risks they could pose in the future鈥�.
, (2022); (2020).
(Australia, 2020), 听(July 2024, 34p).听 A 鈥淩oundtable on the Human Future鈥� co-hosted by The Club of Rome, involving one-page summaries by 25 organizations, in that 鈥淗umanity faces multiple global catastrophic risks, now arriving together,鈥� a polycrisis posing 鈥渕ounting security threats鈥� to all nations and people. Proposes a World Plan of Action鈥� and many specific actions.
, Converging Risks Lab, ). On the sixth mass extinction period.听
, . Four scenarios ranging from productive AI global regulation to an AI Jungle of competing interests.听
, EU Policy Lab, n ten clusters of future risks: breakdown of international cooperation, decline of the EU economy, decrease in well-being, disrupted critical supply chains, AI dominance, democracy erosion, green transition failure, lawless society, social division, and weakened EU.
(Copenhagen), (March 2024, 340p). On climate change as a risk multiplier and 36 climate risks across Europe.听
(Amsterdam, 2022). Newsletter 鈥渢o reduce existential risk by informing public debate鈥�; AI risks, man-made pandemics, public attitudes toward X Risk (survey in US and Netherlands, April 2024, 14p; shows rising awareness and concern).
, (2020, 13p). A survey of >200 global change scientists from 52 countries on global systemic risks, 鈥渢he growing existential threat to humanity,鈥� our impact increasing at an exponential rate, and seven emerging risks.听
(2011); annual reports; a dozen or so academic articles.
(Stockholm), 听(Jan 2024, 49p). On climate change, ecological collapse, and weapons of mass destruction.听
, (Routledge, April 2024, 522p), (Feb 2022, 43p). Evaluates 85 indicators on vulnerability and resilience for 118 countries.
(San Francisco) 鈥淒edicated to reducing catastrophic risk of all hazards鈥�; (Aug 2023, 13p).
(Jan 2024) statement to the House of Lords calling for unified global action and harnessing the vigor of youth worldwide.
(IGES, 1998; Japan); climate change as 鈥渋ncreasing threat at local and global levels鈥�; seeks advanced mitigation and adaptation initiatives, green energy pathways, a resilient ecosystem, a circular economy, and an integrated approach to the triple planetary crisis.
(Univ of Cambridge, 2023). Umbrella for CSER and CHIA.
(1988) publishes Enterprise Risk, a free quarterly magazine (circulation >5,500) on global risks and threats, 鈥渟leeper risks鈥�, and resilience.
. Former national leaders on long-term global issues facing humanity. Papers on planetary health, AI governance, COVID, climate, etc.
, (March 2023, 85p). Integrates findings of the three Working Groups, warning that 鈥渃limate change is a threat to human well-being and planetary health鈥� and risks escalate with every increment of global warming and increasingly create compound and cascading risks.
听(IPBES, Bonn, 2012), (2019, 1148p; 56p Summary). Established by 94 governments as the biological analogue to the better-known IPCC, IPBES has performed 11 regional and thematic assessments, and outlines a 2030 Work Program on the impact of ecosystem services on human well-being, interlinkages in the context of climate change, causes of biodiversity loss, and options for transformative change to attain a 2050 Vision for biodiversity.
(IRGC, Lausanne, Switzerland); (2018, 86p). On resilience, complexity, systems thinking, early warning, foresight, and sustainability.
, Global Science Policy Unit; co-author with UNEP of (July 2024, 108p); see UNEP.
(1948) >1400 governments and NGOs; publishes the official Red List of Endangered Species; program on people, land, water, oceans; issue briefs on land degradation, deforestation, ocean warming, deep sea mining, etc.
, 鈥�,鈥� 2019, 401-415 (Ortwin Renn and 3 Others on managing new risks that affect multiple systems). 鈥�,鈥� , 24:1, 2019, 78-93, 鈥渟ystemic risks as potential threats鈥� to the functioning of society. Project on resilience from extreme climate events.
听(Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability). To nurture next-generation leaders on the challenges of disasters, climate, food, water, AI, etc.
; 鈥渋ncreasingly clear that pollution is a planetary threat鈥� (2022 update, on climate, air pollution, toxic chemicals, etc.).
/Gallup, (June 2024, 45p); 147,000 interviews in 142 countries, finding 30% of people experienced a disaster related to a natural disaster, especially flooding, in the past five years.
(Oxford, UK, c/o making grants that address global catastrophic risks, esp. around AI and pandemics).
(Berkeley CA, 2005); to identify and manage potential existential risks from Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
(Washington). Monitors 15 Global Challenges since 1996; now has 71 Nodes worldwide and three Regional Networks.听(April 2024, 46p), a real-time Delphi, warning of AGI in 3-5 years.
(US), 鈥�,鈥� (Jan 2024). Rockstrom et al on 6 of 9 planet boundaries now crossed. . 鈥�,鈥� L. Kemp and 10 Others, 49:34, (2022, 9p.). Includes Fragile States Index.
(Washington), Report Card 2023 (Dec 2023, 117p). 18th edition on key vital signs: extreme heat, warming ocean water, more precipitation, subsea permafrost, more marine algae, largest wildfire on record, etc. 鈥淭he Arctic continues to rapidly evolve鈥ushing the broader Earth system into uncharted territory.鈥�
(2016), Project of Commonwealth (Bolinas, CA; c/o Michael Lerner). 鈥溾€� newsletter; supports projects of service in 鈥渃haotic times.鈥�
(UK), (Nov 2023). James Hansen and 17 others on warming exceeding 2.0 掳C before 2050.
(see Cascade Institute; project of Polycrisis Resource Library).
, Systemic Risk Group.
(Washington), . A temperature rise of 2.3 to 3.4 掳C by 2100 is very likely.
, 鈥�,鈥� (Dec 2020). Ortwin Renn and six others on risks of high complexity, uncertainty, and ambiguity, with effects on other systems.
; (May 2022, 98p); (June 2024, 28p).
(Herndon, VA) publishes Analysis journal; regional orgs on six continents; 16 specialty groups: resilience analysis, ecology risk, microbial risk, etc. See 鈥�,鈥� Ortwin Renn and 6 Others, Dec 2020.
(Palo Alto, CA), , 3rd Annual X-Risks Conference (April 2023). Reports on the Stanford Cascading Risk Study, based on five 2075 scenarios.
(Washington), 听(June 2022, 89p). On a new agenda for peace, global shocks and health threats, the global commons, future generations, etc.
. 鈥淭op Threats to Humanity and Existential Risks鈥� study materials for teachers and home-schoolers on climate change, energy emissions, and nuclear war.
, (Jan 2023, 33p). Eminent retired leaders call for 鈥渦rgent action on existential threats鈥� such as climate, nuclear weapons, pandemics, and AI.
,听听(July 2022, 65p). On the 2030 Agenda 鈥渋s in grave jeopardy due to multiple, cascading crises.
, ). On 鈥渄angerous planetary changes鈥� and interlinked global challenges outpacing our capacities to respond. ALSO SEE: HDR 2021-2022, (Sept 2022, 320p). Growing inequality, mental distress, and , Special Report (Feb 2022, 175p).
, n AI potentials for progress on five SDGs, and 10 AI risks and challenges.
, (July 2024, 108p). On the triple planetary crisis (climate, biodiversity, pollution and waste), the new global context of polycrisis, and 18 Signals of Change including ancient lethal microbes in thawing Arctic permafrost, new zoonotic diseases, antimicrobial resistance, harmful chemicals and materials, orbital space debris, AI weapons systems, uninhabitable spaces, eco-anxiety, misinformation, widening inequalities. ). As the world warms, cooling demand will triple by 2050, with more than a doubling of electricity consumed.
, (July 7, 2024, 95p). On 鈥渁ccelerating development鈥� of AI, opportunities and risks of AI, 鈥渘egative spill-overs鈥ikely to be global,鈥� the 鈥渋mperative of global governance,鈥� and enhancing global cooperation.
(New York), 听(Dec 2023, 64p). Five scenarios range from harmonious relations to many high-intensity conflicts.
, ). A biennial Global Assessment Report鈥擥AR 2022鈥攚arns that disasters are increasing, as well as ecosystems and Biosystems at risk of collapse.
UN Secretary General Report, ). On 鈥渁n inflection point in history鈥� where we face a choice between Breakdown and Breakthrough to a safer future.
(UNU-EHS, Bonn, 2012). Many specialized books, reports, and articles, and a general 鈥渇lagship鈥� report, (Oct 2023, 96p; annual since 2021), examining 鈥渟ix immediate and increasing鈥� worldwide risks: accelerating extinctions of species, groundwater depletion, retreat of mountain glaciers, uninhabitable heat in a growing number of places, the rise in uninsurability, and growing space debris. 鈥淲e are nearing close to the brink of multiple risk tipping points鈥riving us towards potential catastrophe.鈥�
, dentifies eight drivers of stress: COVID, inflation, food insecurity, fragmented internet, factionalism, etc. Nine Youth Foresight Fellows worked with this 3rd edition of UNICEF鈥檚 Global Outlook.
Univ of Cambridge, (CHIA) (2022); 鈥渁ssessing AI for the benefit of humanity鈥�; programs on Responsible AI, Health and Global AI, etc.
, (Open Book Publishers, Fall 2023, 306p) Chapters on X-risk history, societal collapse, natural risks, global justice, ecological breakdown, biotechnology risks, military AI, etc. Note Sept 17-18, 2024 conference on global catastrophic risk.
.听Analysis and mitigation of risks that threaten long-term survival, in the spirit of the University of Chicago scientists in the Manhattan Project, which founded the听Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists听in 1945.听Course on 鈥淎re We Doomed?鈥�
, ). T. Lenton and 18 others on 25 Earth system tipping points and when tipping is likely.
Univ of Oxford, (Faculty of Philosophy; Toby Ord; Nick Bostrum), 鈥�,鈥� Global Policy 4, 2013, 15-31.
US Director of National Intelligence (Washington), ). Non-technical unclassified overview of state actors and global issues.听
被窝影视福利 of Art & Science, As a 鈥渘ew paradigm鈥� to deal with 鈥渢he multidimensional crises confronting humanity today.鈥� Also sponsors the Working Group on Existential Threats and Risks to All (EXTRA).
(Davos), ). 19th annual edition, ranking 34 global risks over the next 2 years and 10 years.
,
, , . On 42 indicators of progress and falling behind on the climate emergency.
, arns of severe declines in species despite 鈥渄ecades of words and warnings.
, 听(25 July 2024, 20p). 鈥淭he climate crisis is driving crippling heat everywhere.鈥� Four critical areas for action: protect vulnerable workers, care for the vulnerable, boost resilience, and limit temperature rise to 1.5掳C.
(Berlin), 听(Dec 2023, 76p). Published annually since 2011, it assesses disaster risk for 193 countries regarding flooding, drought, sea-level rise, and earthquakes, as well as coping and adaptive capacities. The top 5 countries are the Philippines, Indonesia, India, Mexico, and Colombia. Russia is #8, China is #10, Pakistan #11, and the US #20.
(New York), (Jan 2024, 122p). 鈥淎 confluence of crises, often referred to as a polycrisis, poses a compounded threat that risks further dividing the world.鈥� The polycrisis and 鈥済lobal systemic challenges鈥� divert attention from global development. Describes 19 core technologies for a sustainable and secure future, including 10 tech solutions to drive the SDGs, e.g., tele-health, e-learning, nanotech for water treatment, etc.